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Economic forecasting : the state of the art / Elia Kacapyr.
1996
A 9 KAC.E
Available at WIPO Library
Items
Details
Title
Economic forecasting : the state of the art / Elia Kacapyr.
Author
Kacapyr, Elia, 1956- author.
Description
xvii, 201 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm
ISBN
1563247658
156324764X hardcover
9781563247644 hardcover
9781563247651 paperback
0585190194 electronic book
9780585190198 electronic book
1315480689 ebk
9781315480688
1315480697
9781315480695 E-Book
9781315480664 E-Book
1315480662
9781315480671 E-Book
1315480670
156324764X hardcover
9781563247644 hardcover
9781563247651 paperback
0585190194 electronic book
9780585190198 electronic book
1315480689 ebk
9781315480688
1315480697
9781315480695 E-Book
9781315480664 E-Book
1315480662
9781315480671 E-Book
1315480670
Alternate Call Number
A 9 KAC.E
Note
Contents : 1. Introduction to economic forecasting : The value of economic forecasts; Pitfalls and pointers; The art of forecasting; Summary; 2. Business cycles : The three D's of business cycle; Are modern business cycles different? Business-cycle theories; Summary; 3. Long waves : Introduction; The Kitchin cycle; The Juglar cycle; The Kuznets cycle; The Kondratieff cycles; A critique of wave theory; Batra's wave theory; Summary; 4. Forecasting with economic indicators : The indicators of the U.S. department of commerce; Statistical indicators and prediction rules; Diffusion indexes; More exotic statistical indicators; Miscellaneous indicators; Summary; 5. Forecasting with time-series techniques : Trend extrapolation; Exponential smoothing; ARIMA models; Trends : stationary, stochastic, and chaotic; Summary; 6. Forecasting with econometric models : Introduction; Regression analysis; Econometric models; A simple econometric model; Large-scale econometric models; Vector autoregressive models; Summary; 7. Consensus forecasts : Introduction; Consensus forecasts; Methods for combining forecasts; The role of judgment and adjustments; Summary; 8. Evaluation of economic forecasts : Forecast accuracy; Other considerations of forecast accuracy; Autocorrelation; Bias; Ranking the forecasting techniques; Future prospects; Summary;.
Bibliography, etc. Note
Includes bibliographical references (pages 187-193) and index.
Formatted Contents Note
Ch. 1. Introduction to Economic Forecasting
Ch. 2. Business Cycles
Ch. 3. Long Waves
Ch. 4. Forecasting with Economic Indicators
Ch. 5. Forecasting with Time-Series Techniques
Ch. 6. Forecasting with Econometric Models
Ch. 7. Consensus Forecasts
Ch. 8. Evaluation of Economic Forecasts.
Ch. 2. Business Cycles
Ch. 3. Long Waves
Ch. 4. Forecasting with Economic Indicators
Ch. 5. Forecasting with Time-Series Techniques
Ch. 6. Forecasting with Econometric Models
Ch. 7. Consensus Forecasts
Ch. 8. Evaluation of Economic Forecasts.
Series
Published
Armonk, N.Y. : M.E. Sharpe, c1996.
Language
English
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