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000022349 040__ $$aSzGeWIPO$$beng$$erda$$cSzGeWIPO$$dCaBNVSL
000022349 050_4 $$aHD30.27$$b.E44 1990
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000022349 084__ $$aA 9 ELL.M
000022349 090__ $$c24273$$d24273
000022349 1001_ $$aEllis, Dennis F.,$$d1940-$$eauthor.
000022349 24512 $$aA managerial guide to business forecasting /$$cDennis Ellis, Jay Nathan.
000022349 264_1 $$aFlushing, NY :$$bGraceway Pub.,$$cc1990.
000022349 300__ $$axiv, 162 pages :$$billustrations ;$$c22 cm
000022349 336__ $$atext$$btxt$$2rdacontent
000022349 337__ $$aunmediated$$bn$$2rdamedia
000022349 338__ $$avolume$$bnc$$2rdacarrier
000022349 500__ $$aPrice : US$ 29.50; Inv.# Supplier : Amazon.Com, Seattle, WA; Recd 24/08/98; Table of Contents : 1. Concepts of time series forecasting : Type of models; Factors governing selection of a technique; Two basic concepts; Plan of the book; Part 1. 2. Simple time series models : The basic model; Basic forecast with seasonal; Levels model; Average absolute change model; Average percentage change model; Weighted average percentage change model; Final comments; 3. Smoothing models : Single moving average; Single exponential smoothing; Poisson smoothing; Final comments; Appendix : Comments on moving average; 4. Decomposition method : Trend value; Seasonal value; Cyclical value; Forecast based on decomposition method; Final comments; 5. Linear trend models : Linear trends; Linear moving average; Double exponential smoothing; Holt's two parameter linear exponential smoothing; Final comments; 6. Nonlinear trends : Curve fitting; Forecast example; Tripe exponential smoothing; Final comments; 7. Winters' three parameter exponential smoothing : Winters' three parameter linear exponential smoothing model; Basic step in winters' three parameter model; Forecast with winters' three parameter model; Final comments; Part 3. 8. Box-jenkins approach : Types of models; Identification; Estimation; Diagnostic checking; Preparing forecasts; Final comments; 9. Forecast accuracy : Forecast accuracy measures; Combining forecasts; Final comments; 10. Beyond the forecast models : Factors governing selection of a technique; Start up procedure for implementing a company forecast; Questions a manager should ask a forecaster; Package and present forecasts;.
000022349 504__ $$aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
000022349 650_0 $$aEconomic forecasting$$xMethodology.
000022349 650_0 $$aBusiness forecasting.
000022349 650_0 $$aManagement.
000022349 650_4 $$aBUSINESS FORECASTING
000022349 650_4 $$aGENERAL WORKS : MISCELLANEOUS : BUSINESS FORECASTING
000022349 650_6 $$aGestion d'entreprise$$xPrévision.
000022349 7001_ $$aNathan, Jay.
000022349 903__ $$v1
000022349 942__ $$cMON
000022349 952__ $$w2006-11-03$$p1998-1371$$r29.50$$u34943$$bMAIN$$10$$kA 9 ELL.M$$v1998-08-26$$zJAIYA$$70
000022349 980__ $$aBIB
000022349 999__ $$c24273$$d24273