@article{22349,
      note = {Price : US$ 29.50; Inv.# Supplier : Amazon.Com, Seattle,  WA; Recd 24/08/98; Table of Contents : 1. Concepts of time  series forecasting : Type of models; Factors governing  selection of a technique; Two basic concepts; Plan of the  book; Part 1. 2. Simple time series models : The basic  model; Basic forecast with seasonal; Levels model; Average  absolute change model; Average percentage change model;  Weighted average percentage change model; Final comments;  3. Smoothing models : Single moving average; Single  exponential smoothing; Poisson smoothing; Final comments;  Appendix : Comments on moving average; 4. Decomposition  method : Trend value; Seasonal value; Cyclical value;  Forecast based on decomposition method; Final comments; 5.  Linear trend models : Linear trends; Linear moving average;  Double exponential smoothing; Holt's two parameter linear  exponential smoothing; Final comments; 6. Nonlinear trends  : Curve fitting; Forecast example; Tripe exponential  smoothing; Final comments; 7. Winters' three parameter  exponential smoothing : Winters' three parameter linear  exponential smoothing model; Basic step in winters' three  parameter model; Forecast with winters' three parameter  model; Final comments; Part 3. 8. Box-jenkins approach :  Types of models; Identification; Estimation; Diagnostic  checking; Preparing forecasts; Final comments; 9. Forecast  accuracy : Forecast accuracy measures; Combining forecasts;  Final comments; 10. Beyond the forecast models : Factors  governing selection of a technique; Start up procedure for  implementing a company forecast; Questions a manager should  ask a forecaster; Package and present forecasts;.},
      author = {Ellis, Dennis F., and Nathan, Jay.},
      url = {http://tind.wipo.int/record/22349},
      title = {A managerial guide to business forecasting /},
      recid = {22349},
      pages = {xiv, 162 pages :},
}