000013621 000__ 03114cam\a2200637\i\4500 000013621 001__ 13621 000013621 003__ SzGeWIPO 000013621 005__ 20230314160045.0 000013621 008__ 041115s2004\\\\nyua\\\\rbs\\i000\0\eng\c 000013621 020__ $$z9789211514018$$qPrint 000013621 020__ $$z9781417577156$$qeBook 000013621 035__ $$a(wipo)(CD )04-0661 000013621 035__ $$a(OCoLC)870560788 000013621 040__ $$aSzGeWIPO$$beng$$erda$$cSzGeWIPO$$dCaBNVSL 000013621 041__ $$aeng 000013621 050_4 $$aHB849.53$$b.W667 2004 000013621 08204 $$a304.6$$221 000013621 08204 $$a304.62021$$222 000013621 084__ $$aC 253 UN.W 000013621 090__ $$c14348$$d14348 000013621 1102_ $$aUnited Nations. 000013621 24510 $$aWorld population to 2300 000013621 264_1 $$aNew York :$$bUnited Nations,$$c2004. 000013621 300__ $$axi, 240 pages :$$billustrations ;$$c28 cm. 000013621 336__ $$atext$$btxt$$2rdacontent 000013621 337__ $$aunmediated$$bn$$2rdamedia 000013621 338__ $$avolume$$bnc$$2rdacarrier 000013621 4901_ $$aEconomic & social affairs 000013621 5050_ $$aProjections to 2050 -- Projections after 2050: long-range growth and decline -- Country rankings -- Population density -- Ageing populations -- Towards an understanding of the emotions in the population of 2300 / Alaka Basu -- An intergenerational rationale for fertility assumptions in long-range world population projections / Herwig Birg -- The implications of the United Nations long-range population projections / John Caldwell -- Comparing long-range global population projections with historical experience / Joel Cohen -- World population in 2300: a century too far? / David Coleman -- Population futures for the next three hundred years: soft landing or surprises to come? / Paul Demeny -- Why the world's population will probably be less than 9 billion in 2300 / Timothy Dyson -- Reflections on the next few centuries / François Héran -- The future of human life expectancy / S. Jay Olshansky -- Projecting the unknowable: a professional effort sure to be misinterpreted / Michael Teitelbaum -- The implications of the United Nations long-range population projections: continuing rapid population growth / Charles F. Westoff -- Foretelling the future / John R. Wilmoth. 000013621 520__ $$aThe projections of world population to the year 2300 are ground-breaking in two respects: they extend the time horizon to 2300 (previous long-range projections were to 2150), and they include country forecasts (previous long-range projections were available by continent only). Such long-reaching projections are needed by environmental scientists, policy makers and others who assess the long-term implications of demographic trends. The report includes a set of essays by well-known thinkers in the population field, reflecting on these and other findings. These essays, which greatly enrich the debate on future world population, are by Alaka Basu, Herwig Birg, John Caldwell, Joel Cohen, David Coleman, Paul Demeny, Timothy Dyson, Francois Heran, Jay Olshansky, Michael Teitelbaum, Charles Westoff and John Wilmoth. [publisher]. 000013621 650_0 $$aPopulation forecasting. 000013621 650_0 $$aOlder people$$vStatistics. 000013621 650_0 $$aFertility, Human$$vStatistics. 000013621 650_4 $$aUNITED NATIONS PUBLICATIONS 000013621 650_4 $$aPOPULATION STATISTICS 000013621 650_4 $$aSTATISTICS 000013621 650_6 $$aFécondité humaine$$vStatistiques. 000013621 650_6 $$aPrévision démographique. 000013621 903__ $$aEconomic & social affairs. 000013621 942__ $$cMON 000013621 952__ $$w2006-11-03$$p2004-0661$$r0.00$$u15262$$bMAIN$$10$$kC 253 UN.W$$v2004-12-08$$zLibrary$$70 000013621 980__ $$aBIB 000013621 999__ $$c14348$$d14348